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A Critical Examination of the Climate Engineering Moral Hazard and Risk Compensation Concern

2015
Scholarly Work
Jesse L Reynolds
International Policy/Guidance
Carbon Dioxide Removal
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Summary/Abstract

This article critically examines the widespread concern that research into and potential implementation of climate engineering would reduce mitigation and adaptation. First, empirical evidence of such moral hazard or risk compensation in general is inconclusive, and the empirical evidence to date in the case of climate engineering indicates that the reverse may occur. Second, basic economics of substitutes shows that reducing mitigation in response to climate engineering implementation could provide net benefits to humans and the environment, and that climate engineering might theoretically increase mitigation through strong income effects. Third, existing policies strive to promote other technologies and measures, including climate adaptation, which induce analogous risk-compensating behaviors. The article argues that if the goal of climate policy is to minimize climate risks, this concern should not be grounds for restricting or prohibiting climate engineering research. Three potential means for this concern to manifest in genuinely deleterious ways, as well as policy options to reduce these effects, are identified.

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