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Decision making in contexts of deep uncertainty – An alternative approach for long-term climate policy

2020
Scholarly Work
Mark Workman, Kate Dooley, Guy Lomax, James Maltby, Geoff Darch
International Policy/Guidance
Carbon Dioxide Removal → BECCS
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Summary/Abstract

This paper critically examines both the use of BECCS in mitigation scenarios and the decision making philosophy underlying the use of integrated assessment modelling to inform climate policy. The paper articulates the need for an alternative approach that explicitly embraces uncertainty, multiple values and diversity among stakeholders and viewpoints, and in which modeling exists in an iterative exchange with policy development rather than separate from it. Such an approach would provide more relevant and robust information to near-term policymaking, and enable an inclusive societal dialogue about the appropriate role for carbon dioxide removal within climate policy.

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