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Fair-share carbon dioxide removal increases major emitter responsibility

2020
Scholarly Work
Claire L. Fyson, Susanne Baur, Matthew Gidden, Carl-Friedrich Schleussner
International Policy/Guidance
Carbon Dioxide Removal
Carbon Dioxide Removal → Afforestation / Reforestation
Carbon Dioxide Removal → BECCS
China, European Union, United States, Paris Agreement
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Summary/Abstract

The Paris Agreement long-term temperature goal is to be achieved on the basis of equity. Accomplishing this goal will require carbon dioxide removal (CDR), yet existing plans for CDR deployment are insufficient to meet potential global needs, and equitable approaches for distributing CDR responsibilities between nations are lacking. This paper applies two common burden-sharing principles to show how CDR responsibility could be shared between regions in 1.5 °C and 2 °C mitigation pathways. It finds that fair-share outcomes for the United States, the European Union and China could imply 2–3 times larger CDR responsibilities this century compared with a global least-cost approach. We illustrate how delaying near-term mitigation affects the CDR responsibilities of major emitters: raising emission levels in 2030 by one gigatonne generates about 20–70 additional gigatonnes of CDR responsibility over this century. An informed debate about equitable CDR contributions will be essential to achieve much-needed progress in this area.

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